Pakistan has been importing solar panels at an unprecedented rate, driven by skyrocketing electricity prices. Last year, the country imported 17 gigawatts of solar panels—far more than its estimated demand of 7-8 gigawatts. Most of these panels come from China, accounting for 13 gigawatts of the total imports.
Experts say the surge in solar adoption is due to a 155% hike in electricity prices over the past three years, pushing many households and businesses toward solar energy.
Will More Solar Panels Flood Pakistan?
With the US blocking imports from Southeast Asia, Chinese manufacturers in those countries may redirect their products to markets like Pakistan. Mustafa Amjad of Renewable First suggests that Pakistan could become a key destination for these panels since no Chinese solar factories currently operate within the country.
However, energy analyst Hania Asad notes that Pakistan already has a surplus of cheap solar panels due to China’s overproduction. Even if more panels arrive, prices may not drop significantly since they are already sold at low rates—around Rs 23-24 per watt—thanks to tax-free imports.
Dumping Concerns and Market Impact
Muhammad Zakir, a solar industry expert, points out that Pakistan’s imports don’t strictly follow demand and supply rules. Despite excess supply, dealers continue to bring in panels, keeping prices competitive.
While the US tariffs may shift global trade patterns, Pakistan’s solar market remains dominated by Chinese imports, with little expectation of major price changes. The focus now is on whether the country can manage this influx sustainably or if it risks becoming a dumping ground for excess solar inventory.
